| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.0% | 59% | -6.2% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 77.8% | 84% | -6.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.6% | 77% | -7.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 58% | +2.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 47.3% | 27.2% | 25.5% |
| xgboost | 67.8% | 16.7% | 15.5% |
| logistic | 52.4% | 26.9% | 20.7% |
| Salford | Fleetwood Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1518 | 1434 |
| Surface Elo | 1518 | 1434 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Oldham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Oldham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | H | Sheffield Weds | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Swindon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Swindon | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Rochdale | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Rochdale | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Oldham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Barnet | 1 - 3 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Salford | 0 - 0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 09 Dec 2025 | Fleetwood Town | 1 - 1 | Salford |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Salford | 0 - 2 | Fleetwood Town |
| 29 Oct 2024 | Fleetwood Town | 2 - 2 | Salford |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.60 | 21.7% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.70 | 58.8% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 02 Oct 06:15 |