| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.9% | 54% | -4.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 53.9% | 30.5% |
| xgboost | 42.8% | 55.5% |
| logistic | 54.8% | 45.2% |
| Washington Capitals | New Jersey Devils | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1584 | 1505 |
| Surface Elo | 1584 | 1505 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.43 | 3.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.14 | 3.29 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 14 Oct | H | Montréal Canadiens | 5 - 4 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Carolina Hurricanes | 2 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Seattle Kraken | 3 - 5 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | New York Rangers | 3 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Pittsburgh Penguins | 5 - 3 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | New York Rangers | 7 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 5 - 4 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Vancouver Canucks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 3 - 5 | L |
| 02 Apr 2026 | New Jersey Devils | 7 - 3 | Washington Capitals |
| 20 Mar 2026 | Washington Capitals | 2 - 1 | New Jersey Devils |
| 28 Dec 2025 | New Jersey Devils | 3 - 4 | Washington Capitals |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Washington Capitals | 2 - 3 | New Jersey Devils |
| 01 Dec 2024 | New Jersey Devils | 5 - 6 | Washington Capitals |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Washington Capitals | 2 - 3 | New Jersey Devils |
| 19 Oct 2024 | New Jersey Devils | 5 - 6 | Washington Capitals |
| 12 Oct 2024 | Washington Capitals | 3 - 5 | New Jersey Devils |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.1% | 17 Oct 11:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.04 | 49.0% | 17 Oct 11:20 |