| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.9% | 78% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 30.6% | 69.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 22.6% | 77.3% |
| logistic | 35.3% | 64.7% |
| Andrej Martin | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1709 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1709 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.57 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.20 | 1.71 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.43 |
| Rest days | 1 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Joao Domingues | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Louis Wessels | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Andrej Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Tiago Pereira | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Goncalo Marques | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Tiago Pereira | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Andrej Martin | 0 - 2 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.29 | 77.5% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.35 | 29.8% | 13 Oct 06:15 |