| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 56.2% | 51% | +5.7% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 83.3% | 78% | +5.0% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 76.3% | 68% | +7.9% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 56% | +1.3% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.7% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.1% | 25.1% | 24.7% |
| xgboost | 63.1% | 19.1% | 17.9% |
| logistic | 57.7% | 33.0% | 9.3% |
| FC Koln | Wurzburger Kickers | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1511 | 1364 |
| Surface Elo | 1511 | 1364 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.10 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 1987 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Union Berlin | 5 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | SC Preussen 06 Munster | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Schalke 04 | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Schalke 04 | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | SC Verl | 3 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | SV Meppen 1912 | 0 - 4 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | SV Waldhof Mannheim 07 | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | TSV Havelse | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Hansa Rostock | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | Heidenheim | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.70 | 27.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.96 | 51.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.77 | 56.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.98 | 50.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |