| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.1% | 63% | -1.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 60.4% | 39.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 68.0% | 31.9% |
| logistic | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Anton Matusevich | Robin Bertrand | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1541 | 1503 |
| Surface Elo | 1541 | 1503 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | A | Andrea Guerrieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Tiago Cacao | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Sep | A | Mickael Kaouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Guilherme Valdoleiros | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Philip Henning | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Joao Domingues | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Sep | A | Mark Lajal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Raphael Perot | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 28 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.58 | 63.3% | 28 Sep 06:15 |