OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-18
⚽ Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 18 October 2026, 18:00 UTC · finished
Twente 2.20 1 - 2 1.40 Utrecht
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.7%74%-14.4%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 84.5%91%-6.7%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 79.1%89%-9.4%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 67.7%75%-7.0%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 60.1%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson54.9%23.1%22.1%
xgboost66.1%18.9%15.0%
logistic69.9%20.1%10.1%
Inputs the models saw
TwenteUtrecht
Elo (pre-match)16901601
Surface Elo16901601
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.201.40
Form trend0.00-0.50
Season points per game2.001.50
Season goals for / game2.001.50
Season goals against / game1.503.00
Rest days87
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Twente: last 5
15 OctHFC Thun1 - 0W
10 OctAFortuna Sittard1 - 1D
10 OctAFor Sittard1 - 1D
20 SepHPSV Eindhoven3 - 2W
20 SepHPSV Eindhoven3 - 2W
Utrecht: last 5
11 OctHWillem II3 - 1W
11 OctHWillem II3 - 1W
09 OctAGraafschap1 - 2L
20 SepAFeyenoord0 - 5L
20 SepAFeyenoord0 - 5L
Head to head
15 Mar 2026Twente0 - 2Utrecht
07 Dec 2025Utrecht1 - 1Twente
11 May 2025Twente2 - 0Utrecht
01 Sep 2024Utrecht2 - 1Twente
18 Feb 2024Twente0 - 1Utrecht
05 Nov 2023Utrecht1 - 1Twente
16 Apr 2023Utrecht1 - 0Twente
22 Jan 2023Twente2 - 0Utrecht
22 Dec 2021Utrecht1 - 1Twente
11 Sep 2021Twente1 - 0Utrecht
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away7.3613.6%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw5.8517.1%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.3574.1%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.3474.6%16 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under3.3030.3%16 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:21 UTC