OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ League Two · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Chesterfield 1.00 5 - 1 2.00 Crewe
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.2%61%-7.8%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.9%87%-7.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 71.1%81%-9.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 54.0%46%+8.0%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 49.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson47.1%25.8%27.1%
xgboost51.7%26.3%22.0%
logistic61.6%23.4%14.9%
Inputs the models saw
ChesterfieldCrewe
Elo (pre-match)15051489
Surface Elo15051489
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.002.00
Form trend0.100.20
Season points per game1.331.75
Season goals for / game1.501.25
Season goals against / game1.330.92
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 1 D
Chesterfield: last 5
20 OctHColchester1 - 1D
20 OctHColchester1 - 1D
17 OctAPort Vale0 - 1L
17 OctAPort Vale0 - 1L
10 OctACrawley Town2 - 2D
Crewe: last 5
20 OctAExeter0 - 2L
20 OctAExeter City0 - 2L
17 OctHRochdale3 - 2W
17 OctHRochdale3 - 2W
10 OctASwindon1 - 0W
Head to head
25 Apr 2026Chesterfield2 - 0Crewe
22 Nov 2025Crewe3 - 3Chesterfield
01 Mar 2025Chesterfield1 - 3Crewe
17 Aug 2024Crewe0 - 5Chesterfield
26 Dec 2017Chesterfield0 - 2Crewe
09 Sep 2017Crewe5 - 1Chesterfield
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away4.7521.1%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2draw3.5028.6%24 Oct 15:00
Bet3651X2home1.6859.5%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6759.9%24 Oct 15:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1546.5%24 Oct 15:00
SportyBet1X2away4.8020.8%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.0025.0%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.6759.9%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6560.6%24 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%24 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:52 UTC