| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.3% | 65% | -10.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 59.8% | 40.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| logistic | 45.9% | 54.1% |
| Max Wiskandt | Pierluigi Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1460 | 1492 |
| Surface Elo | 1460 | 1492 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 28 Sep | H | Pierluigi Basile | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Carlos Taberner | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Andrey Chepelev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Carlos Taberner | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Andrey Chepelev | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Martin Krumich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Max Wiskandt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Kai Wehnelt | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Giovanni Oradini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Max Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | Pierluigi Basile |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.55 | 64.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 29 Sep 06:15 |