OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🏒 Ice hockey on 2026-11-09
🏒 NHL · Monday 09 November 2026, 01:00 UTC · finished
Anaheim Ducks 0.80 5 - 2 0.20 Pittsburgh Penguins
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 59.5%54%+5.4%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson42.5%42.6%
xgboost64.6%34.6%
logistic58.3%41.7%
Inputs the models saw
Anaheim DucksPittsburgh Penguins
Elo (pre-match)14961456
Surface Elo14961456
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.20
Form trend-0.20-0.20
Season points per game0.530.35
Season goals for / game3.763.29
Season goals against / game3.763.53
Rest days21
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W1 W · 0 D
Anaheim Ducks: last 5
07 NovACalgary Flames5 - 3W
06 NovAEdmonton Oilers5 - 4W
04 NovAVancouver Canucks5 - 4W
02 NovHOttawa Senators6 - 3W
30 OctHBuffalo Sabres6 - 7L
Pittsburgh Penguins: last 5
08 NovALos Angeles Kings5 - 2W
06 NovHBoston Bruins2 - 6L
04 NovHVegas Golden Knights2 - 3L
31 OctAMontréal Canadiens4 - 5L
29 OctHUtah Utah Hockey Club3 - 4L
Head to head
10 Dec 2025Pittsburgh Penguins3 - 4Anaheim Ducks
15 Oct 2025Anaheim Ducks4 - 3Pittsburgh Penguins
24 Jan 2025Anaheim Ducks5 - 1Pittsburgh Penguins
31 Oct 2024Pittsburgh Penguins2 - 1Anaheim Ducks
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Pinnacle sharp1X2home1.8554.1%08 Nov 23:20
Pinnacle sharp1X2away2.0648.5%08 Nov 23:20
Generated 2026-11-12 22:03 UTC