| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 50.6% | 52% | -1.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.6% | 45.4% |
| logistic | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Mili Poljicak | Yuta Shimizu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1561 | 1548 |
| Surface Elo | 1561 | 1548 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.80 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 12 | 25 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | H | Francesco Maestrelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Maestrelli | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Max Hans Rehberg | 1 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | A | Patrick Brady | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Bernard Tomic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Bernard Tomic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Stefanos Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Philip Sekulic | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 26 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.93 | 51.8% | 26 Oct 06:15 |