| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.4% | 47% | +8.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| logistic | 57.2% | 42.8% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Imanol Lopez Morillo | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1536 | 1467 |
| Surface Elo | 1536 | 1467 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Matei Victor Chelemen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | H | Martin Krumich | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Adrian Oetzbach | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Martin Krumich | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Josip Simundza | 2 - 1 | W |
| 15 Oct | A | Geoffrey Blancaneaux | 0 - 2 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | Josip Simundza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Nikita Mashtakov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Michel Hopp | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 22 Oct 06:15 |