| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win selected | 62.2% | 57% | +4.7% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 36.9% | 63.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| logistic | 32.3% | 67.7% |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1400 | 1605 |
| Surface Elo | 1400 | 1605 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 41 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Alex Barrena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Mika Brunold | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Sep | H | Izan Almazan Valiente | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Alejandro Moro Canas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Alex Barrena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Jay Clarke | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Oriol Roca Batalla | 2 - 0 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Pavel Lagutin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Jay Clarke | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | 0 - 2 | Carlo Alberto Caniato |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.74 | 57.5% | 20 Sep 06:16 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.00 | 50.0% | 20 Sep 06:16 |