OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-11
⚽ Belgian Pro League · Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Westerlo 2.00 5 - 1 0.20 Antwerp
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 49.1%47%+2.5%✓ hit
DCHome or away 76.3%79%-3.1%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 63.4%63%+0.9%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 67.6%67%+0.7%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 63.2%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson41.1%25.5%33.3%
xgboost46.9%24.9%28.1%
logistic47.7%26.9%25.4%
Inputs the models saw
WesterloAntwerp
Elo (pre-match)15641513
Surface Elo15641513
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.000.20
Form trend-0.800.20
Season points per game1.431.00
Season goals for / game2.141.57
Season goals against / game2.292.14
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W6 W · 2 D
Westerlo: last 5
20 SepASt. Truidense VV2 - 0W
20 SepASt Truiden2 - 0W
12 SepHStandard4 - 2W
05 SepAMechelen4 - 0W
30 AugHWaregem2 - 2D
Antwerp: last 5
20 SepHSt. Gilloise0 - 2L
20 SepHUnion Gilloise0 - 2L
13 SepAClub Brugge1 - 3L
05 SepAStandard0 - 1L
30 AugHSt Truiden1 - 4L
Head to head
23 May 2026Antwerp2 - 0Westerlo
25 Apr 2026Westerlo2 - 4Antwerp
15 Feb 2026Antwerp0 - 2Westerlo
30 Aug 2025Westerlo2 - 0Antwerp
19 Jan 2025Antwerp3 - 2Westerlo
21 Sep 2024Westerlo1 - 2Antwerp
23 Dec 2023Antwerp2 - 2Westerlo
15 Sep 2023Westerlo0 - 3Antwerp
27 Dec 2022Westerlo3 - 3Antwerp
04 Sep 2022Antwerp3 - 0Westerlo
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.5028.6%11 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2draw3.7027.0%11 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2home1.9052.6%11 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5066.7%11 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.5040.0%11 Oct 17:30
SportyBet1X2away3.1631.6%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.8426.0%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1646.3%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5166.2%11 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.6038.5%11 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC