| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.0% | 39% | +15.8% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.6% | 70% | +9.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.5% | 55% | +16.3% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 52% | +6.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 58.1% | 22.7% | 19.2% |
| xgboost | 54.2% | 26.1% | 19.8% |
| logistic | 53.1% | 25.8% | 21.1% |
| Sociedad | Granada | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1619 | 1416 |
| Surface Elo | 1619 | 1416 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.10 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Rest days | 13 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 02 Oct | H | Athletic Club | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Real Union de Irun | 3 - 3 | D |
| 26 Sep | A | Ceuta | 1 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Valencia | 3 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Pasaia KE | 2 - 3 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Atletico Malagueno | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Andorra | 2 - 3 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Andorra | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Leganes | 2 - 3 | L |
| 20 Sep | A | Leganes | 2 - 3 | L |
| 09 Mar 2024 | Granada | 2 - 3 | Sociedad |
| 02 Sep 2023 | Sociedad | 5 - 3 | Granada |
| 13 Feb 2022 | Sociedad | 2 - 0 | Granada |
| 23 Sep 2021 | Granada | 2 - 3 | Sociedad |
| 14 Mar 2021 | Granada | 1 - 0 | Sociedad |
| 08 Nov 2020 | Sociedad | 2 - 0 | Granada |
| 10 Jul 2020 | Sociedad | 2 - 3 | Granada |
| 03 Nov 2019 | Granada | 1 - 2 | Sociedad |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.75 | 36.4% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.25 | 30.8% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.95 | 51.3% | 04 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.83 | 54.6% | 04 Oct 06:15 |