| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.9% | 49% | +3.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 44.3% | 55.6% |
| logistic | 57.7% | 42.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Tessa Johanna Brockmann | Anna Lena Friedsam | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1543 | 1457 |
| Surface Elo | 1543 | 1457 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.78 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Mona Barthel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Nov | H | Olivia Gram | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Hannah Klugman | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Elena Malygina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Alicia Dudeney | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Basiletti, Noemi | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Victoria Allen | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Sophie Bekker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Anna Lena Friedsam | 0 - 2 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.69 | 59.2% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 05 Nov 06:15 |