OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-11-08
⚽ Portugal Liga Portugal · Sunday 08 November 2026, 15:30 UTC · finished
Santa Clara 2.00 1 - 2 1.60 Gil Vicente
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 47.1%44%+3.0%✗ miss
DCHome or draw 76.4%76%+0.1%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 65.6%64%+2.0%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 59.6%65%-5.8%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 56.3%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson40.3%32.6%27.1%
xgboost45.2%31.9%22.9%
logistic51.6%26.7%21.8%
Inputs the models saw
Santa ClaraGil Vicente
Elo (pre-match)15981548
Surface Elo15981548
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.001.60
Form trend0.100.30
Season points per game2.331.33
Season goals for / game1.000.67
Season goals against / game0.000.67
Rest days65
Head-to-head (last 10)5 W3 W · 2 D
Santa Clara: last 5
08 NovAImortal DC2 - 3L
01 NovAMaritimo2 - 0W
01 NovAMaritimo2 - 0W
01 NovHSC Mineiro Aljustrelense3 - 0W
26 OctHBenfica1 - 2L
Gil Vicente: last 5
02 NovHGuimaraes0 - 0D
29 OctABenfica1 - 4L
24 OctHPorto0 - 1L
24 OctHPorto0 - 1L
19 OctASp Braga2 - 1W
Head to head
21 Mar 2026Santa Clara1 - 0Gil Vicente
03 Nov 2025Gil Vicente1 - 0Santa Clara
15 Mar 2025Gil Vicente0 - 1Santa Clara
25 Oct 2024Santa Clara2 - 1Gil Vicente
06 May 2023Santa Clara3 - 2Gil Vicente
29 Dec 2022Gil Vicente1 - 0Santa Clara
06 Feb 2022Gil Vicente2 - 2Santa Clara
29 Aug 2021Santa Clara1 - 0Gil Vicente
20 Feb 2021Gil Vicente1 - 0Santa Clara
03 Oct 2020Santa Clara0 - 0Gil Vicente
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.4828.7%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.1032.3%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.2744.0%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.5040.0%06 Nov 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.5365.4%06 Nov 06:15
Generated 2026-11-12 22:02 UTC