| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.2% | 73% | -6.1% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 22.7% | 77.2% |
| logistic | 38.3% | 61.7% |
| Mika Brunold | Benjamin Bonzi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1623 | 1780 |
| Surface Elo | 1623 | 1780 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Domenc, Mathys | 0 - 1 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Matteo Martineau | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Jerome Kym | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Benjamin Bonzi | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Mika Brunold | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Hugo Grenier | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | August Holmgren | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | August Holmgren | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Benjamin Bonzi | 1 - 2 | Mika Brunold |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.38 | 72.5% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 14 Oct 06:15 |