| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 63.0% | 85% | -22.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 42.7% | 57.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 25.9% | 74.0% |
| logistic | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Mitchell Krueger | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1605 | 1747 |
| Surface Elo | 1605 | 1747 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.30 | 1.47 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.10 | 0.53 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | H | Andres Andrade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Abdullah Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Keegan Smith | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Sebastian Gorzny | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Jenson Brooksby | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Sander Jong | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | A | Mees Rottgering | 1 - 0 | W |
| 21 Oct | A | Daniel Milavsky | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Darwin Blanch | 0 - 2 | Mitchell Krueger |
| 03 Nov 2025 | Darwin Blanch | 1 - 2 | Mitchell Krueger |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.17 | 85.5% | 29 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.65 | 21.5% | 29 Oct 06:15 |