| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.0% | 42% | +7.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.6% | 77% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 62.5% | 58% | +4.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.1% | 55% | -0.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.9% | 24.9% | 24.2% |
| xgboost | 32.9% | 32.3% | 34.8% |
| logistic | 38.2% | 27.8% | 34.0% |
| Sivasspor | Pendikspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1470 | 1464 |
| Surface Elo | 1470 | 1464 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 495 | 865 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | A | Ankara Keciorengucu | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 May | A | Alanyaspor | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 May | A | Samsunspor | 0 - 1 | L |
| 11 May | H | Bodrumspor | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 May | A | Galatasaray | 1 - 4 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Bodrum FK | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 May | H | Gaziantep | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 May | A | Ankaragucu | 0 - 0 | D |
| 12 May | H | Rizespor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 May | A | Antalyaspor | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Feb 2024 | Sivasspor | 4 - 1 | Pendikspor |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Pendikspor | 2 - 3 | Sivasspor |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.40 | 41.7% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.89 | 52.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.89 | 52.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |