OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ England National League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC · finished
Altrincham 2.40 3 - 1 0.80 Aldershot
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.9%52%+1.6%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 77.6%79%-1.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 69.2%70%-0.5%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.0%63%-7.3%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 55.4%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson49.5%23.9%26.7%
xgboost55.9%23.4%20.7%
logistic52.2%25.5%22.3%
Inputs the models saw
AltrinchamAldershot
Elo (pre-match)14901381
Surface Elo14901381
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.400.80
Form trend0.600.20
Season points per game2.250.75
Season goals for / game1.751.75
Season goals against / game1.001.75
Rest days66
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Altrincham: last 5
03 OctABoreham Wood1 - 3L
03 OctABoreham Wood1 - 3L
29 SepAGateshead1 - 0W
29 SepAGateshead1 - 0W
26 SepHHornchurch3 - 0W
Aldershot: last 5
03 OctHCarlisle1 - 3L
03 OctHCarlisle1 - 3L
29 SepAHornchurch1 - 2L
29 SepAHornchurch1 - 2L
26 SepHTamworth5 - 1W
Head to head
06 Dec 2025Aldershot2 - 1Altrincham
09 Aug 2025Altrincham3 - 2Aldershot
15 Mar 2025Altrincham1 - 2Aldershot
23 Nov 2024Aldershot2 - 1Altrincham
17 Feb 2024Aldershot2 - 0Altrincham
03 Oct 2023Altrincham2 - 1Aldershot
29 Apr 2023Aldershot1 - 1Altrincham
24 Sep 2022Altrincham1 - 0Aldershot
26 Mar 2022Altrincham1 - 0Aldershot
04 Dec 2021Aldershot2 - 2Altrincham
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.5028.6%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.7027.0%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.8952.9%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5863.3%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.3043.5%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:05 UTC