| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.7% | 49% | +5.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 59.7% | 40.3% |
| logistic | 53.3% | 46.7% |
| Anna Bondar | Lois Boisson | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1623 | 1574 |
| Surface Elo | 1623 | 1574 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | H | Renata Zarazua | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Renata Zarazua | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Kimberly Birrell | 1 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | H | Elena Gabriela Ruse | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Alina Charaeva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Leolia Jeanjean | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Erika Andreeva | 2 - 1 | W |
| 01 Oct | H | Anna Blinkova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Martyna Kubka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Lucia Bronzetti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Jul 2025 | Anna Bondar | 0 - 2 | Lois Boisson |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.81 | 55.2% | 10 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 10 Oct 06:15 |