| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 54.7% | 64% | -9.6% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 79.0% | 88% | -9.3% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.1% | 83% | -11.5% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 62% | +0.3% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.4% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.8% | 25.6% | 25.6% |
| xgboost | 57.9% | 20.2% | 21.9% |
| logistic | 57.9% | 22.5% | 19.6% |
| Barrow | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1413 | 1386 |
| Surface Elo | 1413 | 1386 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.10 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 1.14 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 27 Oct | A | Halifax | 3 - 2 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Halifax | 3 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Tamworth | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Tamworth | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Wealdstone | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Forest Green | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Forest Green | 0 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Boston Utd | 4 - 2 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Boston Utd | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Hornchurch | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Aug 2019 | Barrow | 2 - 0 | Eastleigh |
| 16 Mar 2019 | Eastleigh | 0 - 1 | Barrow |
| 17 Nov 2018 | Barrow | 0 - 3 | Eastleigh |
| 10 Apr 2018 | Barrow | 3 - 2 | Eastleigh |
| 18 Nov 2017 | Eastleigh | 0 - 2 | Barrow |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.20 | 19.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.25 | 23.5% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.53 | 65.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.59 | 62.9% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 30 Oct 06:15 |