| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.9% | 28% | +21.6% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.6% | 78% | -2.7% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.4% | 37% | +28.5% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 69% | -9.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.3% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 48.4% | 24.8% | 26.9% |
| xgboost | 44.7% | 29.7% | 25.5% |
| logistic | 46.6% | 25.7% | 27.8% |
| Feyenoord | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1741 | 1789 |
| Surface Elo | 1741 | 1789 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.70 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 4 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Utrecht | 5 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Utrecht | 5 - 0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Zwolle | 7 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Roma | 0 - 0 | D |
| 11 Oct | H | Roma | 0 - 0 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Frosinone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Parma | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Sep | A | Genoa | 4 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.13 | 24.2% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.44 | 29.1% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.46 | 68.5% | 14 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.80 | 35.7% | 14 Oct 06:15 |