OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-24
⚽ Scotland Premiership · Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Dundee United 1.60 3 - 2 1.60 Aberdeen
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 52.4%46%+6.7%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.2%73%+5.8%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 69.9%62%+7.6%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 54.7%49%+5.9%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 51.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson43.3%27.8%28.8%
xgboost59.9%22.4%17.7%
logistic53.1%26.7%20.2%
Inputs the models saw
Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Elo (pre-match)16441589
Surface Elo16441589
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.60
Form trend-0.40-0.10
Season points per game2.331.33
Season goals for / game1.671.33
Season goals against / game0.331.00
Rest days77
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W4 W · 3 D
Dundee United: last 5
17 OctASt Johnstone1 - 1D
17 OctASt Johnstone1 - 1D
10 OctHHibernian1 - 0W
10 OctHHibernian1 - 0W
26 SepAForfar1 - 2L
Aberdeen: last 5
17 OctHSt Mirren3 - 1W
17 OctHSt Mirren3 - 1W
13 OctAElgin1 - 0W
11 OctHSt Johnstone0 - 1L
11 OctHSt Johnstone0 - 1L
Head to head
09 May 2026Aberdeen2 - 0Dundee United
24 Feb 2026Dundee United0 - 0Aberdeen
27 Dec 2025Aberdeen1 - 1Dundee United
23 Sep 2025Dundee United2 - 0Aberdeen
17 May 2025Dundee United2 - 1Aberdeen
02 Mar 2025Aberdeen2 - 2Dundee United
29 Dec 2024Dundee United1 - 0Aberdeen
26 Oct 2024Aberdeen1 - 0Dundee United
04 Mar 2023Dundee United1 - 3Aberdeen
12 Nov 2022Aberdeen1 - 0Dundee United
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away3.2730.6%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6127.7%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.1945.7%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.7656.8%23 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.0548.8%23 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:20 UTC