| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 59.1% | 81% | -21.9% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 40.1% | 59.8% |
| logistic | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Marek Gengel | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1499 | 1608 |
| Surface Elo | 1499 | 1608 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 9 | 37 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 14 Sep | H | Tristan Schoolkate | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Sep | A | Christian Langmo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Juan Bautista Torres | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Jan | A | Florent Bax | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Jan | H | Oliver Crawford | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Harold Mayot | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Matisse Bobichon | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Anton Matusevich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Marek Gengel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep | A | Flavio Cobolli | 1 - 3 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Marek Gengel | 0 - 2 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| 27 Jan 2025 | Marek Gengel | 0 - 2 | Tristan Schoolkate |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.25 | 80.0% | 16 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.70 | 27.0% | 16 Sep 06:15 |