OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-12

🎾 tennis_atp_shanghai_masters · Monday 12 October 2026, 08:20 UTC · scheduled

Arthur Fils 1.80 08:20 1.80 Botic Van De Zandschulp

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	78.0%	81%	-3.4%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	81.3%	18.6%
logistic	70.9%	29.1%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Arthur Fils	Botic Van De Zandschulp
Elo (pre-match)	2075	1854
Surface Elo	2075	1854
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.80	1.80
Form trend	0.30	-0.30
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	2	1
Head-to-head (last 10)	1 W	0 W · 0 D

Arthur Fils: last 5

12 Oct	H	Botic Van De Zandschulp	0 - 2	L
10 Oct	H	Pavel Kotov	2 - 0	W
10 Oct	H	Pavel Kotov	2 - 0	W
04 Oct	A	Valentin Vacherot	1 - 2	L
04 Oct	H	Valentin Vacherot	1 - 2	L

Botic Van De Zandschulp: last 5

12 Oct	A	Arthur Fils	2 - 0	W
10 Oct	H	Alex Michelsen	2 - 0	W
10 Oct	A	Alex Michelsen	2 - 0	W
08 Oct	H	Daniel Merida	2 - 1	W
08 Oct	H	Daniel Merida	2 - 1	W

Head to head

12 Oct 2026	Arthur Fils	0 - 2	Botic Van De Zandschulp
13 May 2024	Arthur Fils	2 - 1	Botic Van De Zandschulp

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.24	80.7%	12 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.30	23.3%	12 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.22	82.0%	12 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.20	23.8%	12 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.25	80.0%	12 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.80	20.8%	12 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Arthur Fils	1.27	78.7%	12 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.90	20.4%	12 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.24	80.7%	12 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.30	23.3%	12 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.22	82.0%	12 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.40	22.7%	12 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.22	82.0%	12 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.30	23.3%	12 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.22	82.0%	12 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.40	22.7%	12 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.22	82.0%	12 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.25	23.5%	12 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.22	82.0%	12 Oct 06:01
Marathon Bet	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.25	23.5%	12 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.25	80.0%	12 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.80	20.8%	12 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Arthur Fils	1.27	78.7%	12 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.90	20.4%	12 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.22	82.0%	12 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.40	22.7%	12 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.24	80.7%	12 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.55	22.0%	12 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.18	84.8%	12 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.00	25.0%	12 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	4.45	22.5%	12 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.23	81.3%	12 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.18	84.8%	12 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.30	23.3%	12 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.20	83.3%	12 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.60	21.7%	12 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.22	82.0%	12 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.25	23.5%	12 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.22	82.0%	12 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.25	23.5%	12 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.22	82.0%	12 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.20	23.8%	12 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.23	81.3%	12 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.50	22.2%	12 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Arthur Fils	1.21	82.6%	12 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Botic van de Zandschulp	4.30	23.3%	12 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC