OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-21
⚽ League One · Wednesday 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC · finished
Reading 1.60 1 - 0 1.40 Leyton Orient
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 53.8%66%-12.0%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 79.5%89%-9.9%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 71.0%84%-13.2%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 56.1%62%-5.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 53.6%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson47.8%24.1%28.1%
xgboost56.2%22.8%21.0%
logistic59.2%24.3%16.5%
Inputs the models saw
ReadingLeyton Orient
Elo (pre-match)15161464
Surface Elo15161464
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.601.40
Form trend0.40-0.40
Season points per game1.501.40
Season goals for / game2.201.50
Season goals against / game1.201.10
Rest days44
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W4 W · 1 D
Reading: last 5
17 OctAWigan0 - 1L
17 OctAWigan0 - 1L
13 OctHChelsea0 - 2L
10 OctAMilton Keynes Dons5 - 1W
10 OctAMilton Keynes Dons5 - 1W
Leyton Orient: last 5
17 OctHBlackpool2 - 0W
17 OctHBlackpool2 - 0W
10 OctABradford0 - 0D
10 OctABradford0 - 0D
03 OctHPlymouth0 - 2L
Head to head
17 Jan 2026Leyton Orient3 - 1Reading
20 Sep 2025Reading2 - 1Leyton Orient
25 Jan 2025Leyton Orient2 - 0Reading
14 Sep 2024Reading0 - 1Leyton Orient
27 Jan 2024Reading1 - 1Leyton Orient
07 Oct 2023Leyton Orient2 - 1Reading
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away5.2519.1%21 Oct 20:00
Bet3651X2draw3.8026.3%21 Oct 20:00
Bet3651X2home1.5664.1%21 Oct 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.6759.9%21 Oct 20:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.1546.5%21 Oct 20:00
SportyBet1X2away5.5018.2%21 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.4022.7%21 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.5564.5%21 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6261.7%21 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%21 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 15:55 UTC