| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 40.7% | 38% | +3.0% | |
| DC | Home or away | 73.3% | 75% | -1.5% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 52.1% | 54% | -1.5% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 56% | +1.1% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 55.0% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.1% | 29.2% | 35.6% |
| xgboost | 38.2% | 28.1% | 33.7% |
| logistic | 32.8% | 30.0% | 37.2% |
| Cremonese | Benevento | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1473 | 1424 |
| Surface Elo | 1473 | 1424 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 2 D |
| 28 Oct | H | Benevento | 3 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Mantova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Mantova | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | Juve Stabia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Juve Stabia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Cremonese | 0 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | Catanzaro | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Arezzo | 3 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Arezzo | 3 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct 2026 | Cremonese | 3 - 0 | Benevento |
| 01 Mar 2022 | Benevento | 1 - 1 | Cremonese |
| 17 Oct 2021 | Cremonese | 1 - 1 | Benevento |
| 21 Jun 2020 | Cremonese | 0 - 1 | Benevento |
| 30 Oct 2019 | Benevento | 2 - 0 | Cremonese |
| 10 Mar 2019 | Cremonese | 1 - 0 | Benevento |
| 27 Oct 2018 | Benevento | 2 - 1 | Cremonese |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.20 | 31.2% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.70 | 37.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 30 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.76 | 56.8% | 30 Oct 06:15 |