| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 54.4% | 61% | -6.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 79.4% | 84% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 71.7% | 79% | -7.4% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 61% | -1.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.4% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 21.5% | 23.2% | 55.3% |
| xgboost | 27.6% | 24.5% | 47.9% |
| logistic | 15.9% | 21.9% | 62.2% |
| Bologna | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1662 | 1922 |
| Surface Elo | 1662 | 1922 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 4 W · 3 D |
| 11 Oct | A | Lecce | 2 - 1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Lecce | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Torino | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Sep | A | Napoli | 0 - 1 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Sassuolo | 2 - 2 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | SS Monopoli | 2 - 4 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Club Brugge | 3 - 4 | L |
| 13 Oct | A | FC Giugliano 1928 | 4 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Parma | 3 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Parma | 3 - 0 | W |
| 23 May 2026 | Bologna | 3 - 3 | Inter |
| 04 Jan 2026 | Inter | 3 - 1 | Bologna |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Bologna | 1 - 0 | Inter |
| 15 Jan 2025 | Inter | 2 - 2 | Bologna |
| 09 Mar 2024 | Bologna | 0 - 1 | Inter |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Inter | 2 - 2 | Bologna |
| 26 Feb 2023 | Bologna | 1 - 0 | Inter |
| 09 Nov 2022 | Inter | 6 - 1 | Bologna |
| 27 Apr 2022 | Bologna | 2 - 1 | Inter |
| 18 Sep 2021 | Inter | 6 - 1 | Bologna |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.65 | 60.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.28 | 23.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 5.54 | 18.1% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.64 | 61.0% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |