OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-18
NFL · Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:30 UTC · finished
Jacksonville Jaguars – 31 - 34 – Houston Texans
NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 61.5%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
ensemble61.5%38.5%
Inputs the models saw
Jacksonville JaguarsHouston Texans
playoff0.00
elo diff0.12
form diff0.38
rest diff0.02
home field0.00
point diff0.64
opponent strength diff0.03
Information cutoff (UTC)2026-10-17T13:30:00+00:00
Jacksonville Jaguars: last 5
11 OctHPhiladelphia Eagles19 - 17W
04 OctACincinnati Bengals22 - 17W
27 SepHNew England Patriots35 - 6W
20 SepADenver Broncos13 - 20L
13 SepHCleveland Browns34 - 10W
Houston Texans: last 5
11 OctATennessee Titans26 - 3W
04 OctHDallas Cowboys30 - 34L
27 SepAIndianapolis Colts17 - 19L
20 SepHCincinnati Bengals6 - 20L
13 SepHBuffalo Bills31 - 36L
Head to head
09 Nov 2025Houston Texans36 - 29Jacksonville Jaguars
21 Sep 2025Jacksonville Jaguars17 - 10Houston Texans
01 Dec 2024Jacksonville Jaguars20 - 23Houston Texans
29 Sep 2024Houston Texans24 - 20Jacksonville Jaguars
26 Nov 2023Houston Texans21 - 24Jacksonville Jaguars
24 Sep 2023Jacksonville Jaguars17 - 37Houston Texans
01 Jan 2023Houston Texans3 - 31Jacksonville Jaguars
09 Oct 2022Jacksonville Jaguars6 - 13Houston Texans
19 Dec 2021Jacksonville Jaguars16 - 30Houston Texans
12 Sep 2021Houston Texans37 - 21Jacksonville Jaguars
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Pinnacle sharp1X2home1.7158.5%18 Oct 10:20
Pinnacle sharp1X2away2.2444.6%18 Oct 10:20
Generated 2026-10-30 15:57 UTC