| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.6% | 63% | -11.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.3% | 88% | -9.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 69.0% | 82% | -13.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 56% | -0.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 44.5% | 29.8% | 25.7% |
| xgboost | 52.6% | 25.0% | 22.3% |
| logistic | 52.6% | 26.1% | 21.3% |
| Mallorca | Las Palmas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1576 | 1536 |
| Surface Elo | 1576 | 1536 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 04 Oct | A | Girona | 0 - 0 | D |
| 04 Oct | A | Girona | 0 - 0 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | Almeria | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Almeria | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | CF La Nucia | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Valladolid | 2 - 2 | D |
| 04 Oct | H | Valladolid | 2 - 2 | D |
| 04 Oct | A | RC Recreativo de Huelva | 0 - 4 | L |
| 03 Oct | H | Lanzarote UD | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Eibar | 2 - 3 | L |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Mallorca | 3 - 1 | Las Palmas |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Las Palmas | 2 - 3 | Mallorca |
| 11 May 2024 | Mallorca | 1 - 0 | Las Palmas |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Las Palmas | 1 - 1 | Mallorca |
| 04 Apr 2021 | Las Palmas | 1 - 1 | Mallorca |
| 10 Jan 2021 | Mallorca | 0 - 1 | Las Palmas |
| 17 Mar 2019 | Las Palmas | 1 - 2 | Mallorca |
| 27 Oct 2018 | Mallorca | 2 - 2 | Las Palmas |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.60 | 17.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.00 | 25.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.59 | 62.9% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.78 | 56.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.96 | 51.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |