OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-09

🎾 tennis_atp_shanghai_masters · Friday 09 October 2026, 09:00 UTC · scheduled

Francisco Cerundolo 1.80 09:00 1.20 Roman Safiullin

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	53.8%	52%	+1.5%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	48.9%	51.1%
logistic	56.6%	43.4%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Francisco Cerundolo	Roman Safiullin
Elo (pre-match)	1935	1879
Surface Elo	1935	1879
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.80	1.20
Form trend	0.30	-0.60
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	5	2
Head-to-head (last 10)	1 W	1 W · 0 D

Francisco Cerundolo: last 5

09 Oct	H	Roman Safiullin	2 - 0	W
04 Oct	A	Daniil Medvedev	0 - 2	L
04 Oct	A	Daniil Medvedev	0 - 2	L
03 Oct	H	Jakub Mensik	2 - 0	W
03 Oct	H	Jakub Mensik	2 - 0	W

Roman Safiullin: last 5

09 Oct	A	Francisco Cerundolo	0 - 2	L
07 Oct	A	Rinky Hijikata	2 - 0	W
07 Oct	A	Rinky Hijikata	2 - 0	W
03 Oct	A	Andrey Rublev	1 - 2	L
03 Oct	A	Andrey Rublev	1 - 2	L

Head to head

09 Oct 2026	Francisco Cerundolo	2 - 0	Roman Safiullin
04 Nov 2024	Francisco Cerundolo	2 - 0	Roman Safiullin
01 Jul 2024	Francisco Cerundolo	2 - 3	Roman Safiullin

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.89	52.9%	09 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.96	51.0%	09 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.85	54.0%	09 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.95	51.3%	09 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.85	54.0%	09 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.89	52.9%	09 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.97	50.8%	09 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Roman Safiullin	2.02	49.5%	09 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Francisco Cerundolo	1.98	50.5%	09 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Roman Safiullin	2.04	49.0%	09 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.85	54.0%	09 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.98	50.5%	09 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.89	52.9%	09 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.92	52.1%	09 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.87	53.5%	09 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.95	51.3%	09 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.95	51.3%	09 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.85	54.0%	09 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.88	53.2%	09 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.92	52.1%	09 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.97	50.8%	09 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Roman Safiullin	2.02	49.5%	09 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Francisco Cerundolo	1.98	50.5%	09 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Roman Safiullin	2.04	49.0%	09 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.89	52.9%	09 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.92	52.1%	09 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.89	52.9%	09 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.99	50.2%	09 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.80	55.6%	09 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.83	54.6%	09 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.94	51.5%	09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.91	52.4%	09 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.80	55.6%	09 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.90	52.6%	09 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.82	54.9%	09 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.85	54.0%	09 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.88	53.2%	09 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.92	52.1%	09 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.88	53.2%	09 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.92	52.1%	09 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.85	54.0%	09 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.95	51.3%	09 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.88	53.2%	09 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.98	50.5%	09 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Francisco Cerundolo	1.86	53.8%	09 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Roman Safiullin	1.94	51.5%	09 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:58 UTC