| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.6% | 69% | -3.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 56.4% | 43.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 64.4% | 35.6% |
| logistic | 67.8% | 32.2% |
| Darwin Blanch | Daniel Milavsky | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1705 | 1540 |
| Surface Elo | 1705 | 1540 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.86 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Patrick Maloney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Daniel Milavsky | 2 - 1 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Patrick Maloney | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Andres Andrade | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Blaise Bicknell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Darwin Blanch | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Blaise Bicknell | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Timo Legout | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Timo Legout | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Daniel Milavsky | 1 - 2 | Darwin Blanch |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 30 Sep 06:15 |