OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-08

🎾 tennis_atp_shanghai_masters · Thursday 08 October 2026, 07:10 UTC · scheduled

Fabian Marozsan 1.80 07:10 1.20 Zachary Svajda

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	55.6%	57%	-1.5%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	56.8%	43.2%
logistic	53.4%	46.6%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Fabian Marozsan	Zachary Svajda
Elo (pre-match)	1787	1763
Surface Elo	1787	1763
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.80	1.20
Form trend	0.90	0.30
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	11	35
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Fabian Marozsan: last 5

08 Oct	H	Zachary Svajda	0 - 2	L
27 Sep	H	Kyrian Jacquet	0 - 2	L
27 Sep	H	Kyrian Jacquet	0 - 2	L
25 Sep	H	Taro Daniel	2 - 1	W
25 Sep	H	Taro Daniel	2 - 1	W

Zachary Svajda: last 5

08 Oct	A	Fabian Marozsan	2 - 0	W
03 Sep	A	Arthur Gea	1 - 3	L
02 Sep	A	Daniel Altmaier	3 - 1	W
14 Aug	A	Mattia Bellucci	0 - 2	L
05 Aug	A	Arthur Fils	1 - 2	L

Head to head

08 Oct 2026

Fabian Marozsan

0 - 2

Zachary Svajda

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.75	57.1%	08 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.13	46.9%	08 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.73	57.8%	08 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.10	47.6%	08 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.71	58.5%	08 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.10	47.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.77	56.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.26	44.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Fabian Marozsan	1.80	55.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Zachary Svajda	2.30	43.5%	08 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.74	57.5%	08 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.16	46.3%	08 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.74	57.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.10	47.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.73	57.8%	08 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.12	47.2%	08 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.81	55.2%	08 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.01	49.8%	08 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.78	56.2%	08 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.02	49.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.77	56.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.28	43.9%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Fabian Marozsan	1.79	55.9%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Zachary Svajda	2.30	43.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.74	57.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.10	47.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.73	57.8%	08 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.22	45.1%	08 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.71	58.5%	08 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Zachary Svajda	1.94	51.5%	08 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	2.15	46.5%	08 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	1.75	57.1%	08 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.70	58.8%	08 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.05	48.8%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.66	60.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.05	48.8%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.78	56.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.02	49.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.78	56.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.02	49.5%	08 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.73	57.8%	08 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.10	47.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.76	56.8%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.15	46.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Fabian Marozsan	1.72	58.1%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Zachary Svajda	2.10	47.6%	08 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 17:06 UTC