| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.9% | 59% | -3.2% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| logistic | 49.6% | 50.4% |
| Aidan Mayo | Sebastian Gorzny | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1530 | 1525 |
| Surface Elo | 1530 | 1525 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 28 | 19 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Sep | H | Ryan Seggerman | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Ryan Seggerman | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Andy Andrade | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Luis "Guto" Miguel | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Andres Martin | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Tristan Boyer | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Mitchell Krueger | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Wolf, Jeffrey John | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Nishesh Basavareddy | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Luca Staeheli | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.10 | 47.6% | 21 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.69 | 59.2% | 21 Sep 06:15 |