OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-27
⚽ La Liga 2 · Sunday 27 September 2026, 12:00 UTC · finished
Valladolid 1.00 3 - 1 1.20 Cordoba
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 44.9%33%+11.4%✗ miss
DCHome or away 72.7%78%-5.1%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 59.1%46%+13.1%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 49.4%52%-2.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 51.1%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson41.4%26.3%32.3%
xgboost34.5%29.6%35.9%
logistic24.8%28.8%46.4%
Inputs the models saw
ValladolidCordoba
Elo (pre-match)13751457
Surface Elo13751457
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.001.20
Form trend-0.100.00
Season points per game0.831.00
Season goals for / game0.501.50
Season goals against / game1.332.17
Rest days68
Head-to-head (last 10)1 W2 W · 1 D
Valladolid: last 5
20 SepACeuta1 - 1D
20 SepACeuta1 - 1D
13 SepHOviedo0 - 3L
05 SepHAndorra1 - 0W
30 AugACadiz1 - 1D
Cordoba: last 5
26 SepHDos Hermanas CF 19711 - 2L
20 SepAUD Tomares0 - 2L
18 SepAAlbacete2 - 1W
12 SepHAlmeria0 - 2L
07 SepASabadell2 - 3L
Head to head
31 Jan 2026Cordoba3 - 1Valladolid
30 Aug 2025Valladolid0 - 0Cordoba
25 Feb 2018Cordoba2 - 1Valladolid
30 Sep 2017Valladolid4 - 1Cordoba
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.7037.0%27 Sep 13:00
Bet3651X2draw3.4029.4%27 Sep 13:00
Bet3651X2home2.4041.7%27 Sep 13:00
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9052.6%27 Sep 13:00
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9052.6%27 Sep 13:00
SportyBet1X2away2.9533.9%27 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.4029.4%27 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3542.5%27 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8254.9%27 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9551.3%27 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:27 UTC