| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 66.4% | 71% | -4.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 83.3% | 89% | -5.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 79.5% | 85% | -5.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 78% | -18.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 60.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 14.6% | 14.7% | 70.7% |
| xgboost | 22.4% | 18.7% | 58.8% |
| logistic | 10.3% | 18.4% | 71.3% |
| Cambuur | PSV Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1415 | 1811 |
| Surface Elo | 1415 | 1811 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 2.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 31 Oct | H | Go Ahead Eagles | 4 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | VV Kloetinge | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Willem II | 6 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | A | Willem II | 6 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 2 | D |
| 06 Nov | H | Jong Ajax Amsterdam | 0 - 3 | L |
| 06 Nov | A | VVV Venlo | 1 - 1 | D |
| 04 Nov | H | Club Brugge | 1 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | H | NAC Breda | 0 - 2 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Willem II | 7 - 0 | W |
| 12 Mar 2023 | PSV Eindhoven | 5 - 2 | Cambuur |
| 01 Oct 2022 | Cambuur | 3 - 0 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 23 Apr 2022 | Cambuur | 1 - 2 | PSV Eindhoven |
| 21 Aug 2021 | PSV Eindhoven | 4 - 1 | Cambuur |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 5.61 | 17.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 6.14 | 16.3% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.29 | 77.5% | 06 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.60 | 27.8% | 06 Nov 06:15 |