| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.5% | 61% | -7.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.9% | 85% | -5.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 70.8% | 79% | -7.9% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 47% | +9.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 50.5% | 24.9% | 24.7% |
| xgboost | 53.6% | 22.7% | 23.7% |
| logistic | 56.5% | 25.0% | 18.5% |
| Hibernian | Falkirk | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1658 | 1619 |
| Surface Elo | 1658 | 1619 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 7 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Dundee United | 0 - 1 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Dundee United | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Annan Athletic | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | A | Alloa | 1 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Aberdeen | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Dundee | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Dundee | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | St Johnstone | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | St Johnstone | 1 - 1 | D |
| 15 Sep | H | Hearts | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 May 2026 | Falkirk | 1 - 3 | Hibernian |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Falkirk | 4 - 1 | Hibernian |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Hibernian | 3 - 0 | Falkirk |
| 23 Sep 2025 | Falkirk | 2 - 2 | Hibernian |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.09 | 19.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.18 | 23.9% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.65 | 60.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.15 | 46.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |