OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-20
🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:30 UTC · finished
Schalke 04 1.40 0 - 0 1.80 Elversberg
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 61.0%49%+12.3%✗ miss
DCHome or away 86.0%77%+8.6%✗ miss
DNBHome (DNB) 69.5%65%+4.3%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 61.3%66%-4.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 56.4%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson26.1%22.5%51.5%
xgboost48.0%26.8%25.3%
logistic51.0%25.7%23.4%
Inputs the models saw
Schalke 04Elversberg
Elo (pre-match)15941581
Surface Elo15941581
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.401.80
Form trend-0.400.00
Season points per game1.332.00
Season goals for / game1.002.67
Season goals against / game1.332.33
Rest days86
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W2 W · 1 D
Schalke 04: last 5
11 SepAUnion Berlin3 - 1W
05 SepHBayern München0 - 0D
30 AugAAugsburg0 - 3L
17 MayHBraunschweig1 - 0W
09 MayANurnberg0 - 3L
Elversberg: last 5
13 SepHBayern München1 - 2L
05 SepABorussia Mönchengladbach4 - 3W
29 AugHBayer Leverkusen3 - 2W
17 MayHPreußen Münster3 - 0W
10 MayAFortuna Dusseldorf1 - 3L
Head to head
12 Apr 2026Elversberg1 - 2Schalke 04
08 Nov 2025Schalke 041 - 0Elversberg
18 May 2025Schalke 041 - 2Elversberg
20 Dec 2024Elversberg1 - 4Schalke 04
19 Apr 2024Elversberg1 - 1Schalke 04
10 Nov 2023Schalke 041 - 2Elversberg
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.7027.0%20 Sep 16:30
Bet3651X2draw3.9025.6%20 Sep 16:30
Bet3651X2home1.9052.6%20 Sep 16:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.4469.4%20 Sep 16:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.7536.4%20 Sep 16:30
SportyBet1X2away3.6127.7%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.9725.2%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.0349.3%20 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5265.8%20 Sep 06:16
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.6038.5%20 Sep 06:16
Generated 2026-10-30 19:27 UTC