| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 49.8% | 54% | -4.0% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.3% | 46.4% |
| xgboost | 65.4% | 32.9% |
| logistic | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| New Jersey Devils | Ottawa Senators | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1492 | 1561 |
| Surface Elo | 1492 | 1561 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | -0.10 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 3 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | H | Vancouver Canucks | 4 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Utah Utah Hockey Club | 3 - 5 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | New York Islanders | 0 - 6 | L |
| 01 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 3 - 2 | W |
| 14 Apr | A | Boston Bruins | 0 - 4 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Nashville Predators | 3 - 2 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Philadelphia Flyers | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Detroit Red Wings | 3 - 5 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Boston Bruins | 4 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Toronto Maple Leafs | 3 - 2 | W |
| 12 Apr 2026 | New Jersey Devils | 4 - 3 | Ottawa Senators |
| 01 Feb 2026 | Ottawa Senators | 4 - 1 | New Jersey Devils |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Ottawa Senators | 3 - 4 | New Jersey Devils |
| 22 Mar 2025 | New Jersey Devils | 2 - 3 | Ottawa Senators |
| 19 Jan 2025 | New Jersey Devils | 1 - 2 | Ottawa Senators |
| 17 Oct 2024 | Ottawa Senators | 1 - 3 | New Jersey Devils |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | home | 1.86 | 53.8% | 12 Oct 19:20 |
| Pinnacle sharp | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 12 Oct 19:20 |