| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.7% | 51% | -2.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.2% | 80% | -5.0% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 63.3% | 68% | -4.9% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 61% | -6.7% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 56.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 38.3% | 24.3% | 37.5% |
| xgboost | 27.2% | 21.6% | 51.2% |
| logistic | 22.0% | 27.4% | 50.6% |
| Leyton Orient | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1454 | 1576 |
| Surface Elo | 1454 | 1576 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.43 | 1.63 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.86 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| Rest days | 14 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 19 Sep | H | Stevenage | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Stevenage | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Wycombe | 2 - 3 | L |
| 05 Sep | A | Luton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 01 Sep | A | Bromley | 5 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Burton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Burton | 0 - 1 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Crystal Palace | 5 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Blackpool | 4 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Blackpool | 4 - 2 | W |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Leyton Orient | 1 - 3 | Plymouth |
| 19 Aug 2025 | Plymouth | 0 - 1 | Leyton Orient |
| 22 Oct 2019 | Plymouth | 4 - 0 | Leyton Orient |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.82 | 35.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.57 | 63.7% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.35 | 42.5% | 03 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.00 | 50.0% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.50 | 28.6% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 03 Oct 06:15 |