| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.9% | 43% | +10.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.9% | 48.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| logistic | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Zachary Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1797 | 1796 |
| Surface Elo | 1797 | 1796 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.83 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 4 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | A | Mariano Navone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Mariano Navone | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Nicolas Mejia | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Learner Tien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Learner Tien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Fabian Marozsan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Fabian Marozsan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Sep | A | Arthur Gea | 1 - 3 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.64 | 61.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.35 | 42.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |