| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.5% | 86% | -19.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 89.9% | 97% | -6.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 85.3% | 96% | -10.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.7% | 74% | -18.3% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.5% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 76.9% | 15.3% | 7.8% |
| xgboost | 78.8% | 14.1% | 7.1% |
| logistic | 83.9% | 12.2% | 3.9% |
| Inter | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1919 | 1607 |
| Surface Elo | 1919 | 1607 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 21 | 20 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 6 W | 1 W · 3 D |
| 10 Oct | A | AC Savoia 1908 | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Foggia | 3 - 2 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Roma | 2 - 2 | D |
| 14 Sep | H | Udinese | 5 - 3 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Napoli | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Genoa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Sep | A | Como | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Sep | H | Monza | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Juventus | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Cagliari | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 May 2026 | Inter | 2 - 0 | Parma |
| 07 Jan 2026 | Parma | 0 - 2 | Inter |
| 05 Apr 2025 | Parma | 2 - 2 | Inter |
| 06 Dec 2024 | Inter | 3 - 1 | Parma |
| 04 Mar 2021 | Parma | 1 - 2 | Inter |
| 31 Oct 2020 | Inter | 2 - 2 | Parma |
| 28 Jun 2020 | Parma | 1 - 2 | Inter |
| 26 Oct 2019 | Inter | 2 - 2 | Parma |
| 09 Feb 2019 | Parma | 0 - 1 | Inter |
| 15 Sep 2018 | Inter | 0 - 1 | Parma |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 18.70 | 5.3% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 9.45 | 10.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.16 | 86.2% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.35 | 74.1% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.33 | 30.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |