| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.0% | 54% | -3.0% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 44.2% | 55.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 49.0% | 50.8% |
| logistic | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Hugo Grenier | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1554 | 1556 |
| Surface Elo | 1554 | 1556 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.62 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.08 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Nov | A | Luka Pavlovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Sumit Nagal | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Marvin Moeller | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Nov | A | Cyril Vandermeersch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Nov | A | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 0 - 1 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Matt Ponchet | 1 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Leonardo Rossi | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.89 | 52.9% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.85 | 54.0% | 09 Nov 06:15 |