OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-10-08

🎾 tennis_atp_shanghai_masters · Thursday 08 October 2026, 10:00 UTC · scheduled

Luca Van Assche 1.20 10:00 1.80 Bu Yunchaokete

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Away win	53.1%	60%	-7.2%

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
poisson	37.1%	35.2%
xgboost	42.8%	57.1%
logistic	51.8%	48.2%
markov	abstained: unknown match format (best_of=0)

Inputs the models saw

	Luca Van Assche	Bu Yunchaokete
Elo (pre-match)	1841	1834
Surface Elo	1841	1834
Form, last 5 (PPG)	1.20	1.80
Form trend	0.60	0.60
Season points per game	1.50	1.50
Season goals for / game	1.50	1.50
Season goals against / game	1.50	1.50
Rest days	8	5
Head-to-head (last 10)	0 W	0 W · 0 D

Luca Van Assche: last 5

08 Oct	H	Yunchaokete Bu	0 - 2	L
30 Sep	A	Arthur Fils	0 - 2	L
30 Sep	A	Arthur Fils	0 - 2	L
02 Sep	A	Denis Shapovalov	0 - 3	L
30 Aug	A	Rohan Murali	3 - 1	W

Bu Yunchaokete: last 5

02 Oct	H	Novak Djokovic	1 - 2	L
30 Sep	A	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2 - 1	W
27 Sep	A	Roman Safiullin	0 - 2	L
26 Sep	H	Kamil Majchrzak	2 - 1	W
24 Sep	H	Michael Zheng	2 - 0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings in our data.

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
1xBet	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.65	60.6%	08 Oct 06:01
1xBet	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.29	43.7%	08 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.67	59.9%	08 Oct 06:01
888sport	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.20	45.5%	08 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.67	59.9%	08 Oct 06:01
BetAnything	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.30	43.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.71	58.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.38	42.0%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Bu Yunchaokete	1.72	58.1%	08 Oct 06:01
Betfair sharp	h2h_lay	Luca Van Assche	2.42	41.3%	08 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.67	59.9%	08 Oct 06:01
BetOnline.ag	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.28	43.9%	08 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.65	60.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Betsson	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.26	44.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.65	60.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Coolbet	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.25	44.4%	08 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.62	61.7%	08 Oct 06:01
GTbets	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.25	44.4%	08 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.61	62.1%	08 Oct 06:01
LeoVegas (SE)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.30	43.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.71	58.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.34	42.7%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Bu Yunchaokete	1.75	57.1%	08 Oct 06:01
Matchbook	h2h_lay	Luca Van Assche	2.42	41.3%	08 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.65	60.6%	08 Oct 06:01
Nordic Bet	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.26	44.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.69	59.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Pinnacle sharp	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.28	43.9%	08 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.55	64.5%	08 Oct 06:01
PMU (FR)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.20	45.5%	08 Oct 06:01
SportyBet	1X2	away	1.66	60.2%	08 Oct 06:15
SportyBet	1X2	home	2.30	43.5%	08 Oct 06:15
Tipico	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.57	63.7%	08 Oct 06:01
Tipico	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.25	44.4%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.62	61.7%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (FR)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.25	44.4%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.61	62.1%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (NL)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.30	43.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.61	62.1%	08 Oct 06:01
Unibet (SE)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.30	43.5%	08 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.67	59.9%	08 Oct 06:01
William Hill	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.20	45.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.66	60.2%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (DE)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.30	43.5%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Bu Yunchaokete	1.64	61.0%	08 Oct 06:01
Winamax (FR)	h2h	Luca Van Assche	2.25	44.4%	08 Oct 06:01

Generated 2026-10-30 15:56 UTC