| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.5% | 43% | +0.0% | |
| DC | Home or away | 73.8% | 79% | -4.8% | |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 58.2% | 59% | -0.7% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 62% | -7.8% | |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.5% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.1% | 26.0% | 37.9% |
| xgboost | 27.8% | 27.8% | 44.5% |
| logistic | 29.5% | 27.6% | 43.0% |
| Walsall | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1463 | 1588 |
| Surface Elo | 1463 | 1588 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.10 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.67 | 1.29 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | A | Leicester | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | Newport County | 1 - 3 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Colchester | 3 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Colchester | 3 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | H | Salford | 2 - 4 | L |
| 10 Nov | H | Leyton Orient | 4 - 2 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Tranmere | 3 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Crewe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 31 Oct | A | Crewe | 1 - 1 | D |
| 27 Oct | H | York | 3 - 1 | W |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Walsall | 1 - 3 | Barnet |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Barnet | 1 - 2 | Walsall |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.30 | 43.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.85 | 35.1% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.62 | 61.7% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 12 Nov 06:15 |