| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.4% | 73% | +0.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.9% | 65.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 22.2% | 77.7% |
| logistic | 29.5% | 70.5% |
| Liam Broady | Dominic Stricker | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1543 | 1643 |
| Surface Elo | 1543 | 1643 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 695 | 37 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 04 Nov | H | Yi Zhou | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Nov | A | Alexey Zakharov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Jakub Paul | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Robin Bertrand | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Lucas Pouille | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Henry Bernet | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Dinko Dinev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Martin Krumich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | A | Benjamin Hassan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | H | Tommaso Compagnucci | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Mar 2023 | Dominic Stricker | 2 - 1 | Liam Broady |
| 20 Sep 2021 | Dominic Stricker | 0 - 1 | Liam Broady |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.36 | 73.5% | 30 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30 Sep 06:15 |