| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 78.2% | 89% | -10.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 88.6% | 11.4% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 76.2% | 23.8% |
| logistic | 86.6% | 13.4% |
| Elena Rybakina | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1966 | 1492 |
| Surface Elo | 1966 | 1492 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Rest days | 18 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Leylah Fernandez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Diana Shnaider | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Katarzyna Kawa | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Polina Kudermetova | 1 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Alina Charaeva | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Cristina Bucsa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | A | Elena Rybakina | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Cristina Bucsa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Katie Volynets | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Mirra Andreeva | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct 2026 | Elena Rybakina | 1 - 0 | Polina Kudermetova |
| 19 Jun 2023 | Elena Rybakina | 2 - 0 | Polina Kudermetova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 6.60 | 15.2% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.13 | 88.5% | 22 Oct 06:15 |