OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-09-22
⚽ Scotland Challenge Cup · Tuesday 22 September 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Forfar 0.80 0 - 2 0.20 Peterhead
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 55.4%27%+28.0%✗ miss
DCHome or away 79.5%83%-3.0%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 67.4%36%+31.4%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 45.0%62%-17.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 45.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson41.3%28.2%30.5%
xgboost42.0%27.2%30.9%
logistic39.1%28.4%32.4%
Inputs the models saw
ForfarPeterhead
Elo (pre-match)14021383
Surface Elo14021383
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.20
Form trend-0.500.10
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)2 W3 W · 5 D
Forfar: last 5
19 SepHAnnan Athletic1 - 0W
19 SepHAnnan Athletic1 - 0W
12 SepASpartans1 - 5L
05 SepHStranraer0 - 3L
28 AugAEdinburgh City1 - 1D
Peterhead: last 5
19 SepHAirdrie Utd1 - 2L
19 SepHAirdrieonians FC1 - 2L
12 SepAEast Kilbride1 - 3L
05 SepHMontrose0 - 3L
29 AugAAlloa1 - 1D
Head to head
29 Mar 2025Forfar0 - 0Peterhead
01 Feb 2025Peterhead2 - 2Forfar
17 Dec 2024Forfar1 - 1Peterhead
10 Aug 2024Peterhead2 - 1Forfar
13 Apr 2024Peterhead2 - 1Forfar
17 Feb 2024Forfar3 - 3Peterhead
23 Dec 2023Peterhead1 - 2Forfar
07 Oct 2023Forfar1 - 3Peterhead
01 May 2021Peterhead1 - 2Forfar
06 Apr 2021Forfar1 - 1Peterhead
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.8254.9%22 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.9025.6%22 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.7027.0%22 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6162.1%22 Sep 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2544.4%22 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:26 UTC