| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.6% | 49% | +2.8% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 76.4% | 76% | +0.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 66.9% | 66% | +1.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 58% | +0.9% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 57.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 42.2% | 27.9% | 29.9% |
| xgboost | 46.8% | 29.0% | 24.1% |
| logistic | 51.6% | 26.7% | 21.7% |
| Cambridge | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1549 | 1505 |
| Surface Elo | 1549 | 1505 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Form trend | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| Rest days | 14 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 2 W · 1 D |
| 06 Oct | H | Northampton | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | AFC Wimbledon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | AFC Wimbledon | 1 - 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | A | Gillingham | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Oxford | 1 - 1 | D |
| 06 Oct | H | Crewe | 2 - 2 | D |
| 22 Sep | A | Wigan | 2 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Plymouth | 2 - 4 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Plymouth | 2 - 4 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Bromley | 2 - 2 | D |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Blackpool | 2 - 1 | Cambridge |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Cambridge | 4 - 4 | Blackpool |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Blackpool | 1 - 0 | Cambridge |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Cambridge | 2 - 1 | Blackpool |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.40 | 29.4% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.70 | 27.0% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.05 | 48.8% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.71 | 58.5% | 09 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 09 Oct 06:15 |